What do polls say about CHP’s İnce reportedly planning to found a new party?

* Photo: Anadolu Agency (AA)

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The Sonar Research company has shared the findings of its trimonthly report on "Political Tendencies and Agenda in Turkey Research."

As part of this research, 2,850 randomly chosen people from the provinces of İstanbul, Tekirdağ, Balıkesir, İzmir, Aydın, Manisa, Bursa, Kocaeli, Ankara, Konya, Antalya, Adana, Hatay, Kırıkkale, Kayseri, Zonguldak, Kastamonu, Samsun, Trabzon, Erzurum, Ağrı, Malatya, Van, Antep, Urfa and Mardin answered question on their views about Turkey's political agenda.

Among the questions asked to the participants of the survey as part of this research was also a question on Republican People's Party's (CHP) Muharrem İnce. Having received 30.6 percent of the votes as a Presidential candidate from the main opposition party in elections on June 24, 2018, Muharrem İnce is allegedly poised to found a new political party.

Within this context, the company asked the participants, "If Muharrem İnce founds a party, will you vote for him?" While 15.8 percent of the participants have answered this question in the affirmative, 72.3 percent have said that they will not vote for Muharrem İnce in such a case.

Other details from the report are as follows:

Do you think that the government is successful or unsuccessful in managing the coronavirus outbreak?

Successful: 60.2 percent

Not successful: 26.8 percent

Neither successful nor unsuccessful: 10.1 percent

I have no idea / answer: 2.9 percent

What do you think about the government's performance in terms of Turkey's foreign policy (Syria, Libya and other issues)? Do you think that the government is successful in foreign policy or not?

Successful: 52.8 percent

Unsuccessful: 33.5 percent

Partly successful: 8.6 percent

I have no idea / answer: 5.1 percent

What do you think about the performance of opposition parties in our country? Do you find them successful or unsuccessful?

Unsuccessful: 62 percent

Successful: 19 percent

Partly successful: 13 percent

I have no idea / answer: 6 percent 

If there were general elections (Parliamentary elections) this Sunday, what party would you vote for?

When swing voters are not distributed:

Justice and Development Party (AKP): 31.5 percent

Republican People's Party (CHP): 21.5 percent

Nationalist Movement Party (MHP): 8.9 percent

İYİ Party: 8.2 percent

Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP): 6.6 percent

Other: 2.4 percent

Swing voters: 14.1 percent

I have no idea / answer: 6.8 percent 

When swing voters are distributed:

AKP: 39.8 percent

CHP: 27.2 percent

MHP: 11.3 percent

İYİ Party: 10.4 percent

HDP: 8.3 percent

Other: 3 percent

If there were Presidential elections this Sunday, for whom would you vote? (Open ended questions were asked without giving names)

President and AKP Chair Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 41.5 percent

İstanbul Metropolitan Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu: 9.1 percent

İYİ Party Chair Meral Akşener: 7.2 percent

Muharrem İnce: 6.8 percent

Imprisoned former HDP Co-Chair Selahattin Demirtaş: 6.4 percent

Ankara Metropolitan Mayor Mansur Yavaş: 6.3 percent

Other: 4.8 percent

Swing voters: 5.1 percent

I have no idea / answer: 12.8 percent 

Would you vote for Muharrem İnce if he founded a party?

No: 72.3 percent

Yes: 15.8 percent

Swing voters: 7.8 percent

I have no idea / answer: 4.1 percent

Of 15.8 percent, votes would come to İnce from the following parties:

CHP: 7.6 percent

AKP: 1.6 percent

İYİ Party: 1.5 percent

MHP: 0.7 percent

HDP: 0.6 percent

Other: 3.8 percent

(AÖ/SD)