Report: Extreme temperatures now five times more likely in most of Europe, including Turkey

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According to a new analysis by Climate Central, the human-induced climate crisis has made record-breaking temperature predictions five times more likely across a significant portion of Europe, including Turkey.

Using a peer-reviewed methodology called the Climate Shift Index (CSI) to estimate how the climate crisis increases the likelihood of specific temperature scenarios, the analysis for a five-day period (August 21-25) reveals that a large part of Europe will experience unusually hot conditions.

The data indicates that Spain, Southern France, Switzerland, Italy, Slovenia, Austria, Bulgaria, Romania, Moldova, Kosovo, and most of Turkey will experience an exceptional climate event during these five days. The western half of Turkey and the Southeastern Anatolia Region are particularly affected by the heat this week.

According to the predictions, maximum daily temperatures are expected to surpass the long-term average across mainland Europe, with the highest temperature anomalies occurring in France and northern Spain. In these regions, temperatures will exceed the normal range by 10°C for three consecutive days, while other parts of Europe will experience temperatures more than 5°C above average.

In 369 major cities across Europe, temperatures will remain more than 10°C above normal for three days starting from August 22.

Furthermore, it is anticipated that nearly the entire mainland Europe will experience attributable temperatures between 2 and 4 on the CSI scale during the event. These values indicate that the climate crisis is expected to make temperatures in these regions at least 2-4 times more likely. (TY/VK)